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Championship header 2

League Two
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Swindon Town

Walsall
2 - 1
Swindon

Faal (11'), Johnson (89')
Stirk (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-0 Swindon Town

 Walsall need points for playoffs but are shaky at home recently. Swindon are in good form but terrible away. The hosts' home record might hold, earning them a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Walsall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Walsall.

Result
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
48.96% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 27.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (0.026000000000003 0.03)39.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)62.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)16.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)62.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 48.96%
    Swindon Town 27.99%
    Draw 23.05%
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: Walsall vs Swindon

Walsall
63.2%
Draw
5.3%
Swindon Town
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Swindon
2-0
Walsall
Austin (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (88')
Khan (36'), Hutton (90+4')

Hutchinson (25'), Knowles (62'), Gordon (90+4')
Knowles (66')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Walsall
0-0
Swindon
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swindon
1-2
Walsall
Iandolo (33')
Hutton (45+1' og.), Monthe (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Walsall
2-0
Swindon
Johnson (80' pen.), Abraham (81')

Adeloye (81'), Harries (85'), Darcy (90+5')
Minturn (78')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Walsall
0-3
Swindon

Daniels (45+2'), Monthe (73')
McKirdy (3'), Payne (25', 45+3')
Williams (54'), Reed (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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