MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:29:32| >> :60:32:32:
Chile national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 26, 2024 at 2am UK
MetLife Stadium
Argentina national football team

Chile
0 - 1
Argentina


Suazo (55'), Isla (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa America clash between Chile and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's Copa America clash with Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, June 22 at 1am in Copa America

Argentina

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Friday, June 21 at 1am in Copa America

We said: Chile 1-2 Argentina

 On matchday one, the Argentines looked vulnerable in transition, but they have an array of veterans and youthful players that can change the complexion of any match, which is why we have them winning this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chile had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Chile win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
ChileDrawArgentina
17.81% (-0.517 -0.52) 23.76% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 58.43% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-1.136 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.3% (-1.033 -1.03)53.7% (1.043 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.81% (-0.877 -0.88)75.19% (0.886 0.89)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.98% (-1.232 -1.23)44.02% (1.241 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.86% (-1.029 -1.03)80.14% (1.038 1.04)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.215 -0.22)18.16% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (-0.379 -0.38)49.14% (0.389 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Chile 17.81%
    Argentina 58.42%
    Draw 23.75%
ChileDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 4.59% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-0 @ 2.69% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 17.81%
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.321 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 13.63% (0.45 0.45)
0-2 @ 11.63% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 6.62% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.82% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 58.42%

How you voted: Chile vs Argentina

Chile
7.6%
Draw
10.0%
Argentina
82.4%
210
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 12.15am
Group Stage
Chile
1-2
Argentina
Brereton Diaz (21')
Di Maria (10'), Martinez (34')
> Preview
Jun 14, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Chile
Messi (33')
Martinez (30'), Martinez (62')
Vargas (57')
Isla (25'), Pulgar (32'), Vidal (35')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Chile
Martinez (43'), Romero (52')
Galdames (2'), Aranguiz (68')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2019 3.30am
International Friendlies
Chile
0-0
Argentina
Aranguiz (7'), Baeza (49'), Vegas (75'), Pinares (77')
Paredes (6'), Dybala (15'), Tagliafico (57'), Montiel (59'), De Paul (62'), Dominguez (82')
> Match Report
Jul 6, 2019 8pm
Third-place playoff
Argentina
2-1
Chile
> Match Report
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