We said: Chile 2-0 Paraguay
Despite their disappointing defeat to Venezuela in the last round of games, Chile do boast more quality throughout their squad than the visitors, particularly with Almiron sidelined, and La Roja should fancy themselves to return to winning ways on home soil on Friday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 73.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 7.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.45%) and 3-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.12%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.