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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.25% ( -2.53) | 25.39% ( -0.25) | 39.36% ( 2.78) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.42% ( 1.01) | 47.58% ( -1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% ( 0.93) | 69.78% ( -0.93) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( -0.95) | 26.15% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% ( -1.3) | 61.22% ( 1.3) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( 1.97) | 23.89% ( -1.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( 2.74) | 58.09% ( -2.74) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |