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Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Russell-Rowe (68'), Farsi (90+10')
Amundsen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Herbers (72')
Arigoni (13'), Barlow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, March 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire

 Chicago Fire have failed to beat Columbus Crew in all of their last five meetings, while they have been unable to win at the hosts' home stadium since 2018. With Columbus winning four of the last five, scoring at least two in all of these victories, we believe they will go on to win this one 2-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
62.28% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08) 20.52% (0.102 0.1) 17.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (-0.505 -0.51)41.18% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-0.517 -0.52)63.58% (0.518 0.52)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (-0.178 -0.18)12.68% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.14% (-0.37 -0.37)38.86% (0.373 0.37)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (-0.329 -0.33)37.32% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.325 -0.32)74.11% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 62.28%
    Chicago Fire 17.2%
    Draw 20.52%
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.28%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.52%
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.2%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Chicago Fire
Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 16' pen., 23')

Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Columbus Crew
Shaqiri (88')
Navarro (45+5'), Herbers (89')
Camilo Hernandez (59'), Zelarayan (90+3')
Amundsen (20'), Zawadzki (29'), Farsi (81'), Zelarayan (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Chicago Fire
Diaz Espinoza (74')
Herbers (85'), Espinoza (90+7')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
2-3
Columbus Crew
Gimenez (14'), Czichos (43'), Navarro (50'), Gutierrez (54'), Duran (60')
Navarro (88')
Moreira (8'), Mensah (71'), Camilo Hernandez (84')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Columbus Crew
2-0
Chicago Fire
Zelarayan (31'), Berry (58')

Navarro (59'), Offor (62'), Espinoza (88'), Ivanov (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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