Major League Soccer
Dec 9, 2023 at 9pm UK
Lower.com Field
We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Los Angeles FC
Winning consecutive titles is difficult, and given all of the matches that LAFC have played this year, the Crew will likely be a little fresher, which could make the difference in what promises to be a nail-biting affair.
The overall quality of the Crew and home-field advantage may give Columbus more of an edge and propel them to another MLS Cup title.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 50.65% . A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.1%) . The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (6.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match.
Result Columbus Crew Draw Los Angeles FC 50.65% 23.49% 25.86%
Both teams to score 57.59%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Columbus Crew 50.65%
Los Angeles FC 25.86%
Draw 23.48%
Columbus Crew Draw Los Angeles FC 2-1 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.65% 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.48% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-1 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.86%
How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Los Angeles
Columbus Crew
Draw
Los Angeles FC
24
rhs 2.0
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