Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
65.91% ( -0.3) | 18.92% ( 0.12) | 15.17% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.35% ( -0.18) | 37.66% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.11% ( -0.19) | 59.89% ( 0.19) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.35% ( -0.13) | 10.65% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.49% ( -0.28) | 34.51% ( 0.28) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.35% ( 0.12) | 37.66% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% ( 0.12) | 74.43% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.6% Total : 65.91% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.92% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |