Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.