MX23RW : Tuesday, November 19 00:22:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Notts County

Crewe
2 - 0
Notts County

Tracey (40'), Cooney (62' pen.)
Holicek (57'), Cooney (64'), Williams (67'), Marshall (71'), Sanders (75'), Tracey (80')
Long (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bedeau (3'), Maynard (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Notts County

Nott County have proven to be resilient away from home in recent games, and it is difficult to see how they lose on Saturday. Additionally, while Crewe have the same defensive record as their opponents, their inferior offensive record may make them slight underdogs this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
44.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.23% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.72% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.65% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.81% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.87% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 44.05%
    Notts County 31.72%
    Draw 24.23%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.72%

How you voted: Crewe vs Notts County

Crewe Alexandra
35.3%
Draw
28.2%
Notts County
36.5%
85
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Notts County
1-3
Crewe
O'Brien (83')
Ashby-Hammond (18'), Bostock (53'), Langstaff (81'), Jatta (90')
Demetriou (5'), Nevitt (19' pen.), Austerfield (77')
Kirk (27'), Demetriou (53'), Turns (81'), Adebisi (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crewe
1-0
Notts County
Baker-Richardson (90+8' pen.)
Offord (14'), Cooney (90+1')

Cameron (45+1'), Baldwin (50'), O'Brien (70'), Jones (88'), Randall (89')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crewe
3-0
Notts County
Taylor-Sinclair (31'), Wintle (77'), Jones (83')

Hemmings (43'), O'Brien (85')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
2-1
Crewe
Milsom (5'), Hewitt (61')
Milsom (33')
Bowery (14')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Notts County
4-1
Crewe
Husin (15'), Hewitt (41', 60'), Bennett (89')
Husin (65')
Miller (8')
Nolan (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Texans
@
Cowboys
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!