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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Notts County |
48.78% ( 0.41) | 23.69% ( -0.15) | 27.53% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 58.39% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.88% ( 0.48) | 43.12% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.48% ( 0.48) | 65.52% ( -0.47) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.18% ( 0.35) | 17.82% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.44% ( 0.59) | 48.56% ( -0.59) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.06) | 28.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 0.08) | 64.83% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.78% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 27.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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