Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.