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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
0 - 0
Crystal Palace


Anderson (39')
FT

Milivojevic (42'), Hughes (90+2')
Newcastle win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United overcome fellow Premier League side Crystal Palace on penalties to advance to the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Crystal Palace

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
53.73% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15) 23.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 22.74% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3% (0.18 0.18)46.7% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (0.17 0.17)68.96% (-0.167 -0.17)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)17.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)47.66% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.242 0.24)34.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.256 0.26)71.51% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 53.72%
    Crystal Palace 22.74%
    Draw 23.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 53.72%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 22.74%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
86.2%
Draw
7.6%
Crystal Palace
6.2%
145
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Newcastle
0-0
Crystal Palace

Longstaff (15'), Fraser (67')

Ward (56'), Doucoure (90+6')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Newcastle
1-0
Crystal Palace
Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')

Gallagher (45+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
Feb 2, 2021 8.15pm
Newcastle
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Crystal Palace
0-2
Newcastle

Dann (77'), Schlupp (90+3')
Wilson (88'), Joelinton (89')
Fernandez (17'), Longstaff (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


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