

Newcastle4 - 0Crystal Palace
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
57.96% (![]() | 22.39% (![]() | 19.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.37% (![]() | 45.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.04% (![]() | 67.96% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.55% (![]() | 15.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.69% (![]() | 44.31% (![]() |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.77% (![]() | 37.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.99% (![]() | 74.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.96% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.75% 2-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.68% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.64% Total : 19.64% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace



