CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 18, 2024 at 11pm UK
Stadion Ergilio Hato
Curacao4 - 1St Lucia
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Curacao and Saint Lucia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Saint Martin 0-5 Curacao
Friday, November 15 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, November 15 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: St Lucia 0-4 Grenada
Friday, November 15 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, November 15 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | Saint Lucia |
56.28% ( -0.21) | 22.72% ( 0.23) | 21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
