MX23RW : Tuesday, October 15 05:14:38| >> :120:52386:52386:
FC Twente logo
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 6pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Red Bull Salzburg

FC Twente
3 - 3
Salzburg

Hilgers (43'), van Hoorenbeeck (64'), Steijn (87')
Rots (24'), Vlap (37'), Hilgers (51'), Steijn (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kjaergaard (17'), Dorgeles (25'), Kounfolo Yeo (46')
Gourna-Douath (9'), Blaswich (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FC Twente and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 FC Twente
Saturday, August 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Salzburg 5-1 BW Linz
Saturday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: FC Twente 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg (Red Bull Salzburg win 4-2 on aggregate)

Given their greater European experience, Salzburg should finish the job in Enschede: they can thrive on the counter-attack, cleverly picking off their goal-chasing hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
FC TwenteDrawRed Bull Salzburg
45.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 22.39% (-0.032 -0.03) 31.62% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.92% (0.17800000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (0.211 0.21)34.4% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.236 0.24)56.32% (-0.235 -0.23)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (0.054000000000002 0.05)15.54% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53% (0.098999999999997 0.1)44.47% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.16200000000001 0.16)21.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.24299999999999 0.24)55.25% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 45.98%
    Red Bull Salzburg 31.62%
    Draw 22.39%
FC TwenteDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.13% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Salzburg

FC Twente
32.3%
Draw
10.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
56.9%
130
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2024 7.45pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Salzburg
2-1
FC Twente
Kjaergaard (41', 85')
Gourna-Douath (44')
Vlap (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bills
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool76011321118
2Manchester CityMan City7520178917
3Arsenal7520156917
4Chelsea7421168814
5Aston Villa7421129314
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton73311310312
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle733187112
8Fulham7322108211
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs7313148610
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest724176110
11Brentford73131313010
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
13Bournemouth7223810-28
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd722358-38
15Leicester CityLeicester7133912-36
16Everton7124715-85
17Ipswich TownIpswich7043614-84
18Crystal Palace7034510-53
19Southampton7016415-111
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves7016921-121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!