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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Wrexham AFC

Forest Green
1 - 1
Wrexham

Osadebe (3')
Robson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mullin (90+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-3 Wrexham

Although Wrexham have been susceptible at the back this season, conceding 31 times, they are not as inconsistent in that areas of the field as Forest Green. Given the firepower that the Welsh side possess and their ability to create chances against the best sides that League Two have to offer, we believe they will ultimately be too much for the home team to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
33.77% (3.454 3.45) 25.54% (0.455 0.45) 40.69% (-3.91 -3.91)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (-0.822 -0.82)48.49% (0.823 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (-0.754 -0.75)70.62% (0.753 0.75)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (1.837 1.84)27.46% (-1.838 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (2.313 2.31)62.95% (-2.313 -2.31)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-2.219 -2.22)23.61% (2.219 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31% (-3.314 -3.31)57.69% (3.315 3.32)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.77%
    Wrexham 40.69%
    Draw 25.53%
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.686 0.69)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.533 0.53)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.692 0.69)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.387 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.4 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.698 -0.7)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.69%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Wrexham

Forest Green Rovers
21.6%
Draw
7.8%
Wrexham
70.6%
51
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Forest Green
3-0
Wrexham
Bennett (45'), Noble (47' pen.), Doidge (64')
Carter (39'), Ellis (43')

Riley (27'), Jennings (43'), Barry (43'), White (44')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
3-1
Forest Green
Harrad (15'), McDonagh (30', 93')
McDonagh (76'), Evans (78')
Carter (68')
Traore (76')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Forest Green
0-0
Wrexham
Racine (31'), Wedgbury (36'), Marsh-Brown (61'), Guthrie (65')
Smith (61'), Jennings (66'), Heslop (94')
Hudson (72'), Jennings (75')
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Forest Green
Hudson (62', 68')
Heslop (74')
Carter (21'), Williams (94')
Bennett (36'), Racine (50'), Marsh-Brown (54'), Wedgbury (73')
Wedgbury (93')
Feb 24, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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