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Championship header 2

League Two
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Wrexham AFC

Forest Green
1 - 1
Wrexham

Osadebe (3')
Robson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mullin (90+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-3 Wrexham

 Although Wrexham have been susceptible at the back this season, conceding 31 times, they are not as inconsistent in that areas of the field as Forest Green. Given the firepower that the Welsh side possess and their ability to create chances against the best sides that League Two have to offer, we believe they will ultimately be too much for the home team to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
33.77% (3.454 3.45) 25.54% (0.455 0.45) 40.69% (-3.91 -3.91)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (-0.822 -0.82)48.49% (0.823 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (-0.754 -0.75)70.62% (0.753 0.75)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (1.837 1.84)27.46% (-1.838 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (2.313 2.31)62.95% (-2.313 -2.31)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-2.219 -2.22)23.61% (2.219 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31% (-3.314 -3.31)57.69% (3.315 3.32)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.77%
    Wrexham 40.69%
    Draw 25.53%
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.686 0.69)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.533 0.53)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.692 0.69)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.387 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.4 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.698 -0.7)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.69%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Wrexham

Forest Green Rovers
21.6%
Draw
7.8%
Wrexham
70.6%
51
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Forest Green
3-0
Wrexham
Bennett (45'), Noble (47' pen.), Doidge (64')
Carter (39'), Ellis (43')

Riley (27'), Jennings (43'), Barry (43'), White (44')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
3-1
Forest Green
Harrad (15'), McDonagh (30', 93')
McDonagh (76'), Evans (78')
Carter (68')
Traore (76')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Forest Green
0-0
Wrexham
Racine (31'), Wedgbury (36'), Marsh-Brown (61'), Guthrie (65')
Smith (61'), Jennings (66'), Heslop (94')
Hudson (72'), Jennings (75')
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Forest Green
Hudson (62', 68')
Heslop (74')
Carter (21'), Williams (94')
Bennett (36'), Racine (50'), Marsh-Brown (54'), Wedgbury (73')
Wedgbury (93')
Feb 24, 2015 7.45pm
Wrexham
0-0
Forest Green
Bishop (21')
Marwood (70'), Sinclair (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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