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Championship header 2

League Two
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Wrexham AFC

Forest Green
1 - 1
Wrexham

Osadebe (3')
Robson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mullin (90+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-3 Wrexham

 Although Wrexham have been susceptible at the back this season, conceding 31 times, they are not as inconsistent in that areas of the field as Forest Green. Given the firepower that the Welsh side possess and their ability to create chances against the best sides that League Two have to offer, we believe they will ultimately be too much for the home team to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
33.77% (3.454 3.45) 25.54% (0.455 0.45) 40.69% (-3.91 -3.91)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (-0.822 -0.82)48.49% (0.823 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (-0.754 -0.75)70.62% (0.753 0.75)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (1.837 1.84)27.46% (-1.838 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (2.313 2.31)62.95% (-2.313 -2.31)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-2.219 -2.22)23.61% (2.219 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31% (-3.314 -3.31)57.69% (3.315 3.32)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.77%
    Wrexham 40.69%
    Draw 25.53%
Forest Green RoversDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.686 0.69)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.533 0.53)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.692 0.69)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.387 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.4 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.698 -0.7)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.69%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Wrexham

Forest Green Rovers
21.6%
Draw
7.8%
Wrexham
70.6%
51
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Forest Green
3-0
Wrexham
Bennett (45'), Noble (47' pen.), Doidge (64')
Carter (39'), Ellis (43')

Riley (27'), Jennings (43'), Barry (43'), White (44')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
3-1
Forest Green
Harrad (15'), McDonagh (30', 93')
McDonagh (76'), Evans (78')
Carter (68')
Traore (76')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Forest Green
0-0
Wrexham
Racine (31'), Wedgbury (36'), Marsh-Brown (61'), Guthrie (65')
Smith (61'), Jennings (66'), Heslop (94')
Hudson (72'), Jennings (75')
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Forest Green
Hudson (62', 68')
Heslop (74')
Carter (21'), Williams (94')
Bennett (36'), Racine (50'), Marsh-Brown (54'), Wedgbury (73')
Wedgbury (93')
Feb 24, 2015 7.45pm
Wrexham
0-0
Forest Green
Bishop (21')
Marwood (70'), Sinclair (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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