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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Wrexham AFC

MK Dons
1 - 1
Wrexham

Kemp (26')
Harvie (83'), Gilbey (90+5'), O'Hora (90+8')
Lewington (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McClean (22')
Boyle (48'), O'Connell (62')
Boyle (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Wrexham

 It is difficult to ignore the home form of MK Dons and away form of Wrexham when choosing a result on Tuesday night. A case can be made for either to win it, but we believe that two quality sides will end up with a point each, which both managers would likely accept ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWrexham
53.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.65% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)41.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.58% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.017999999999986 0.02)15.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.1%
    Wrexham 24.25%
    Draw 22.64%
MK DonsDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 53.1%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Wrexham

MK Dons
41.0%
Draw
17.9%
Wrexham
41.0%
39
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Wrexham
3-5
MK Dons
Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
rhs 2.0
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Browns
32-41
Broncos
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213
> League Two Full Table


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