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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moor Lane
Wrexham AFC

Salford City
3 - 1
Wrexham

Vassell (6'), Watt (16'), Smith (56')
Garbutt (20'), Watson (35'), Tilt (79'), N'Mai (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dalby (41')
Tunnicliffe (33'), Lee (34'), Mullin (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-2 Wrexham

Salford have performed to the level their budget and individual qualities demand since Robinson was appointed last month, while Wrexham are still flying high towards the top of the table despite a couple of poor results in all competitions. As such, we expect to see a decent game play out in Greater Manchester on Saturday, and both teams may settle for a point in the end. In Smith and Mullin, those in attendance at the Peninsula Stadium will witness two of the best strikers in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawWrexham
31.23% (-1.548 -1.55) 23.74% (-0.502 -0.5) 45.02% (2.042 2.04)
Both teams to score 60.7% (1.099 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (1.735 1.74)41.16% (-1.743 -1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (1.742 1.74)63.55% (-1.75 -1.75)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (-0.102 -0.1)25.47% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (-0.137 -0.14)60.3% (0.129 0.13)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (1.577 1.58)18.55% (-1.584 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (2.597 2.6)49.8% (-2.605 -2.61)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 31.23%
    Wrexham 45.02%
    Draw 23.73%
Salford CityDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.545 -0.55)
2-0 @ 4.42% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.384 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.171 0.17)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.341 0.34)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.259 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.224 0.22)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.243 0.24)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.181 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Salford City vs Wrexham

Salford City
8.3%
Draw
25.0%
Wrexham
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wrexham
3-2
Salford City
Lee (39'), Fletcher (88'), Davies (89')
Jones (45+2'), O'Connell (75'), Mullin (80')
Smith (15', 36')
Ingram (45+1'), Tilt (45+2'), Shephard (60'), Bolton (81')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Salford City
2-0
Wrexham
Green (23'), Gaffney (60')

Pearson (51'), Young (70')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wrexham
5-1
Salford City
Pearson (3'), Wright (24'), Walker (45'), Tollitt (86'), Holroyd (90')
Whitehead (90')
Pond (45'), Piergianni (47'), Mafuta (64'), Walker (73'), Touray (75')
Walker (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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