Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
49.45% ( 0.08) | 26.48% ( 0.24) | 24.07% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 46.65% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.96% ( -1.13) | 57.03% ( 1.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.07% ( -0.92) | 77.92% ( 0.91) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% ( -0.45) | 23.14% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.99% ( -0.66) | 57.01% ( 0.65) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% ( -0.94) | 39.3% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% ( -0.89) | 76% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 49.45% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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