Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.65% ( -0.11) | 20.66% ( -0.04) | 62.69% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.22% ( -0.03) | 42.77% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.82% ( -0.03) | 65.18% ( 0.03) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.06% ( -0.15) | 38.94% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.33% ( -0.14) | 75.66% ( 0.14) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.95% ( 0.03) | 13.05% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.38% ( 0.06) | 39.62% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 16.65% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.66% | 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.15% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 62.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |