Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Monday, December 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, December 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Rio Ave
Though Rio Ave have been poor defensively this season, it is difficult to see Estrela scoring more than once given their struggles in the final third. Additionally, the visitors have been somewhat resurgent of late away from home, and it would not be surprising if they claimed all three points on Monday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estrela Amadora in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Rio Ave |
45.93% ( 1.32) | 26.76% ( -0.12) | 27.3% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
