Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Campo Do Calvario
Vila Real0 - 2Gil Vicente
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Vila Real and Gil Vicente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 3-2 Gil Vicente
Friday, November 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, November 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vila Real had a probability of 12.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.73%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Vila Real win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Vila Real | Draw | Gil Vicente |
12.74% ( 0.05) | 21.39% ( 0.08) | 65.87% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 41.42% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.63% ( -0.19) | 53.37% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.09% ( -0.16) | 74.91% ( 0.16) |
Vila Real Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49% ( -0.02) | 51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.66% ( -0.01) | 85.34% ( 0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.53% ( -0.11) | 15.47% ( 0.11) |