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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 58.4%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.45% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.49%) and 3-1 (7.01%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
58.4% ( 2.13) | 20.14% ( -0.03) | 21.45% ( -2.09) |
Both teams to score 64.07% ( -2.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.45% ( -2.53) | 32.55% ( 2.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.79% ( -2.99) | 54.21% ( 3) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.92% ( -0.23) | 11.08% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.55% ( -0.52) | 35.45% ( 0.53) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( -3.1) | 27.95% ( 3.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( -4.14) | 63.58% ( 4.14) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.85) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.83) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.09% Total : 58.4% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.14% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.45% Total : 21.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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