MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 19:31:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Mainz logo

Heidenheim
1 - 1
Mainz

Kleindienst (65')
Gimber (35'), Kleindienst (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burkardt (37')
Barreiro (27'), Burkardt (69'), Kohr (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, April 28 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 2-1 Mainz 05

Considering their strong record at Voith Arena, we are expecting a competent performance from Heidenheim on Sunday, leading to back-to-back Bundesliga victories. Mainz are going well under fresh management, but a host of injuries and suspensions could cost them dearly on their travels in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
41.73% (-0.48500000000001 -0.49) 23.93% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 34.34% (0.492 0.49)
Both teams to score 61.24% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (0.153 0.15)40.96% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (0.154 0.15)63.35% (-0.15 -0.15)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)19.88% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (-0.246 -0.25)52% (0.249 0.25)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.349 0.35)23.56% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.499 0.5)57.61% (-0.496 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 41.73%
    Mainz 05 34.34%
    Draw 23.92%
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 41.73%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.055 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.34%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Mainz

Heidenheim
53.7%
Draw
23.9%
Mainz 05
22.4%
67
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
0-1
Heidenheim

Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!