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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Koln logo

Mainz
1 - 1
FC Koln

Barreiro (29')
Caci (28'), Hanche-Olsen (70'), Amiri (83'), Gruda (87')
Mwene (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kainz (90+5' pen.)
Alidou (28'), Chabot (66'), Uth (66'), Schmitz (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 FC Koln

 Despite Koln's tendency to nick points on the road, Sunday's game should favour the hosts. Mainz losing only two of their last 11 home games against the Billy Goats (four wins), securing 13 points from 15 under Henriksen and conceding twice in their last five Bundesliga games, with Koln letting in 11 in the same period, all point to a home victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
61.03% (-0.189 -0.19) 20.72% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 18.25% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.123 -0.12)40.28% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (-0.125 -0.13)62.65% (0.122 0.12)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)12.75% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.98% (-0.191 -0.19)39.02% (0.188 0.19)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (0.060000000000002 0.06)35.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (0.059999999999999 0.06)72.36% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 61.03%
    FC Koln 18.25%
    Draw 20.72%
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 61.03%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 18.25%

How you voted: Mainz vs FC Koln

Mainz 05
87.9%
Draw
9.1%
FC Koln
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
FC Koln
0-0
Mainz
Martel (50'), Uth (85')
Krauss (58'), Kohr (83'), Papela (84'), Widmer (87')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
FC Koln
1-1
Mainz
Ljubicic (51')
Ajorque (17')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Mainz
5-0
FC Koln
Ingvartsen (11' pen.), Kohr (35'), Stach (40'), Caricol (73'), Onisiwo (84')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
FC Koln
3-2
Mainz
Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')
Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
1-1
FC Koln
Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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