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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
41.73% ( -0.49) | 23.93% ( -0) | 34.34% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 61.24% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.04% ( 0.15) | 40.96% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.64% ( 0.15) | 63.35% ( -0.15) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( -0.15) | 19.88% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48% ( -0.25) | 52% ( 0.25) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.44% ( 0.35) | 23.56% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.38% ( 0.5) | 57.61% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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