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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Leipzig logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kramaric (90')
Kabak (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sesko (38')
Simons (55'), Raum (86')
Simons (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig

Friday's game has the potential to be high-scoring, with Hoffenheim failing to keep a clean sheet in 26 league matches and Leipzig conceding in 12 consecutive road games in the Bundesliga. Leipzig are backed to continue their fine form in a match they enter as favourites, having defeated Hoffenheim in five straight matches in all competitions, losing once in 13 previous games against Die Kraichgauer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
29.14% (0.571 0.57) 19.88% (-0.312 -0.31) 50.98% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 74.08% (1.71 1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.72% (1.981 1.98)23.27% (-1.984 -1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.37% (2.624 2.62)42.63% (-2.626 -2.63)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (1.345 1.35)17.71% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (2.279 2.28)48.36% (-2.281 -2.28)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.614 0.61)9.97% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.402 1.4)32.95% (-1.405 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 29.14%
    RB Leipzig 50.98%
    Draw 19.88%
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 3.06% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.097 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 29.14%
1-1 @ 7.05% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 7.03% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 3.12% (0.227 0.23)
0-0 @ 1.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 5.4% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.394 -0.39)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.6% (0.055 0.06)
2-4 @ 3.12% (0.178 0.18)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.8% (0.175 0.18)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.068 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.44% (0.117 0.12)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 50.98%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig

Hoffenheim
8.7%
Draw
10.7%
RB Leipzig
80.5%
149
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Klostermann (34'), Forsberg (70'), Simakan (74')
Haidara (40'), Simons (62'), Klostermann (81')
Kabak (42')
Kabak (62'), Grillitsch (90+5')
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
Dolberg (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Hoffenheim
1-3
RB Leipzig
Rutter (50')
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13St Pauli1852111421-717
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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