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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Houston
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Ibrahim (7')
Clark (36'), Dorsey (65'), Ibrahim (74'), Escobar (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manoel (43'), Morgan (59')
Amaya (64'), Harper (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are solid defensive units, but we are giving the Dynamo the edge because they are at home and may have a little more space in the attacking third if Tolkin is not available as we anticipate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.32% (-0.79 -0.79) 25.08% (0.332 0.33) 22.6% (0.451 0.45)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-0.844 -0.84)53.14% (0.84 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (-0.722 -0.72)74.71% (0.717 0.72)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (-0.652 -0.65)20.3% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (-1.046 -1.05)52.67% (1.04 1.04)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)38.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 52.31%
    New York Red Bulls 22.6%
    Draw 25.08%
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.46% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.6%

How you voted: Houston vs NY Red Bulls

Houston Dynamo
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
New York Red Bulls
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2020 11pm
Jul 4, 2019 2am
Houston
4-0
NY Red Bulls
Manotas (39'), Martinez (56'), Elis (72', 94')
Quioto (41'), DeLaGarza (70')
Figueroa (94')

Murillo (44'), Duncan (63'), Casseres (68')
Murillo (83'), Romero (94')
Aug 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 31
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Houston
White (55')

Leonardo (89')
Apr 2, 2017 1.30am
Houston
4-1
NY Red Bulls
Remick (14'), Torres (41' pen., 56', 91')
Remick (70'), Torres (87')
Wright-Phillips (13')
Lade (28'), Adams (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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