MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 06:12:31| >> :600:3165242:3165242:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Iceland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Montenegro national football team

Iceland
2 - 0
Montenegro

Oskarsson (39'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (58')
Berg Gudmundsson (18'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Radunovic (20'), Osmajic (24'), Erakovic (50'), Jovetic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Iceland and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Montenegro

All competitions
Last Game: Montenegro 1-3 Georgia
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Iceland 1-0 Montenegro

 We are not expecting a goal fest on Friday evening, and it would not be a shock to see the points shared in this contest. Iceland will have home advantage, though, and we are backing Hareide's side to navigate their way to a narrow success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result
IcelandDrawMontenegro
46.61% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 26.51% (0.004999999999999 0) 26.87% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.92% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.71% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)55.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.49% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)76.5% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18%57.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)35.88% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)72.65% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Iceland 46.61%
    Montenegro 26.87%
    Draw 26.5%
IcelandDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.61%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.72%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.87%

How you voted: Iceland vs Montenegro

Iceland
81.5%
Draw
12.1%
Montenegro
6.5%
124
rhs 2.0
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