MX23RW : Monday, January 6 22:44:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Gremio

Juventude
3 - 0
Gremio

Gilberto (25'), Lucas (32'), Erick (83')
Barbosa (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pavon (69'), Reinaldo (78'), Martins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Juventude 1-1 Gremio

 Following back-to-back away defeats, Juventude will be looking forward to returning to their home patch where they are yet to taste defeat this season. However, Gremio have been notably improved over the last couple of weeks and taking a point off the defending champions last time out would have done wonders for their confidence. This looks like a very even contest on paper and we feel these sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawGremio
40.4% (1.219 1.22) 28.04% (-0.314 -0.31) 31.56% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 46.99% (0.644 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (0.92 0.92)58.94% (-0.916 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.707 0.71)79.42% (-0.70299999999999 -0.7)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (1.151 1.15)28.58% (-1.147 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (1.418 1.42)64.37% (-1.414 -1.41)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)34.22% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.173 -0.17)70.91% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 40.39%
    Gremio 31.55%
    Draw 28.04%
JuventudeDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 31.55%

How you voted: Juventude vs Gremio

Juventude
48.1%
Draw
40.7%
Gremio
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
3-2
Juventude
Costa (23'), Souza (24'), Villasanti (56')
Silva (86')
Vinicios (59'), Roberson (90+4')
Castilho (42'), Roberson (79'), Santos (89')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 8
Juventude
2-0
Gremio
Paulinho (28'), Peixoto (83')
Elton (71'), Chico (82'), Mendes (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Juventude
0-1
Gremio
Dalberto (18')
Isaque (37'), (85')
Oct 30, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Gremio
1-0
Juventude
Paulo (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!