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Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
2 - 0
Juventude

Thaciano (59'), Oliveira Souza (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jadson (24'), Gilberto (45+2'), Marcos (52'), Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 2-1 Juventude

Bahia have had a strong campaign thus far and are favourites going into this clash, despite their recent defeat - their perfect home record is a testament to their ruthlessness on home soil, and this will likely be too much to handle for Juventude, who have struggled on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawJuventude
64.84% (0.00099999999999056 0) 20.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 14.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (0.020000000000003 0.02)46.53% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.016999999999999 0.02)68.81% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.59% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)40.7% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56% (0.012 0.01)44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (0.012 0.01)80.12% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 64.83%
    Juventude 14.56%
    Draw 20.6%
BahiaDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 11.93%
2-0 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 64.83%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.6%
0-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.02%
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 14.56%

How you voted: Bahia vs Juventude

Bahia
83.3%
Draw
13.9%
Juventude
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 11.15pm
Gameweek 29
Juventude
0-0
Bahia
Pacheco (84'), Mendes (88')
Gilberto (90')
Jul 7, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 10
Bahia
1-0
Juventude
Bahia (79')
Thaciano (38'), Danielzinho (73')

Paulinho (39'), Wescley (87'), Henrique (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo362110556282873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras36217858312770
3FlamengoFlamengo36199856401666
4InternacionalInternacional361811753322165
5FortalezaFortaleza361811749361365
6Sao Paulo361781151391259
7Bahia36148144746150
8Corinthians361311124845350
9Cruzeiro361310134139249
10Vitoria36136174249-745
11Gremio36128164346-344
12Vasco da GamaVasco36128163955-1644
13Atletico Mineiro361014124652-644
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR36119163943-442
15JuventudeJuventude361012144657-1142
16Fluminense361010163139-840
17CriciumaCriciuma36911164153-1238
18BragantinoBragantino36814143746-938
19Cuiaba36612182846-1830
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3669212655-2927


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