MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 14:12:38| >> :600:2416449:2416449:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Latvia national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Armenia national football team

Latvia
1 - 2
Armenia

Uldrikis (70')
Savaļnieks (73'), Uldrikis (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Spertsyan (48'), Miranyan (75')
Grigoryan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Latvia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-0 Latvia
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Armenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 0-1 Faroe Islands
Thursday, November 14 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Latvia 2-2 Armenia

 Both needing a win to have any chance of finishing second, we are expecting a high-scoring affair between Latvia and Armenia this weekend. Havakakan's confidence will be low following the defeat to Faroe Islands last time out, so we feel that the visitors will only manage a point in Riga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Armenia would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawArmenia
31.87% (1.127 1.13) 27.35% (0.296 0.3) 40.78% (-1.417 -1.42)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.461 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.67% (-0.777 -0.78)56.33% (0.781 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (-0.633 -0.63)77.36% (0.636 0.64)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (0.398 0.4)32.64% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82% (0.443 0.44)69.18% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (-1.118 -1.12)27.13% (1.123 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (-1.481 -1.48)62.52% (1.484 1.48)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 31.87%
    Armenia 40.78%
    Draw 27.35%
LatviaDrawArmenia
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.398 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.28 0.28)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.87%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.263 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 11.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2%
Total : 40.78%

How you voted: Latvia vs Armenia

Latvia
27.2%
Draw
35.9%
Armenia
37.0%
92
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Sep 7, 2024 5pm
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4-1
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Bichakhchyan (6'), Dubra (35' og.), Zelarayan (48'), Spertsyan (86')
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> Preview
Oct 12, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
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2-0
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Ikaunieks (39'), Balodis (68')
Oss (31'), Emsis (65')
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> Preview
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