N. Macedonia1 - 0Latvia
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: North Macedonia 2-0 Latvia
Possessing the opportunity to secure Nations League promotion in front of their home crowd on Thursday night, North Macedonia will be raring to dispatch Latvia in Skopje. The Wolves are poor travellers and after scraping a draw at the Faroe Islands last month, we do not expect Nicolato's side to earn a shock result at Tose Proeski Arena. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for North Macedonia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Latvia |
68.36% ( -0.02) | 20.41% ( 0.01) | 11.23% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.82% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.03% ( -0.03) | 52.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% ( -0.02) | 74.57% ( 0.02) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( -0.02) | 14.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.42% ( -0.03) | 42.58% ( 0.03) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.6% | 53.4% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.1% ( 0) | 86.9% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Latvia |
| 1-0 @ 14.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 14.43% 3-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.36% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.23% |
