We say: North Macedonia 2-0 Latvia
Possessing the opportunity to secure Nations League promotion in front of their home crowd on Thursday night, North Macedonia will be raring to dispatch Latvia in Skopje.
The Wolves are poor travellers and after scraping a draw at the Faroe Islands last month, we do not expect Nicolato's side to earn a shock result at Tose Proeski Arena.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a North Macedonia win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw has a probability of 20.4% and a win for Latvia has a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Latvia win it is 0-1 (4.87%).