Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce1 - 1Monza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 Lecce
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Atalanta
Sunday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Lecce 1-0 Monza
Lecce are reborn under Gatti, keeping clean sheets and winning football games again. Unbeaten in 11 of their 13 home matches across Serie A and Serie B, last losing to the Biancorossi in December 1998, the home side should avoid defeat on Saturday, with a goal settling it for the Wolves. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
38.3% ( -0.61) | 28.14% ( -0.05) | 33.57% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 47.19% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.09% ( 0.27) | 58.91% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.6% ( 0.21) | 79.4% ( -0.21) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.23) | 29.78% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.14% ( -0.27) | 65.86% ( 0.28) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( 0.59) | 32.8% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.64% ( 0.66) | 69.36% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 38.3%
Monza 33.57%
Draw 28.14%
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.57% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Monza
Lecce
69.0%Draw
13.8%Monza
17.2%29
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Monza
1-1
Lecce
May 28, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 37
Monza
0-1
Lecce
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Feb 27, 2022 2.35pm
Gameweek 26
Monza
0-1
Lecce
Oct 1, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Lecce
3-0
Monza
