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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Empoli logo

Lecce
1 - 0
Empoli

Sansone (89')
Almqvist (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyasi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 3-2 Torino
Saturday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Empoli

 This game is a close one to call. The home side are struggling to find the back of the net on their turf, while Empoli just ended a four-game run without scoring before last weekend's win over Torino. However, the away side's penchant for netting late goals means they always carry a threat, and Nicola's men should nick maximum points against a team that go into this weekend on the back of firing six blanks in eight league gameweeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawEmpoli
41.5% (0.382 0.38) 26.46% (0.086000000000002 0.09) 32.04% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (-0.47600000000001 -0.48)52.82% (0.478 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (-0.407 -0.41)74.45% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)25.13% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)59.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (-0.551 -0.55)30.73% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.657 -0.66)66.98% (0.661 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.49%
    Empoli 32.04%
    Draw 26.46%
LecceDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 4% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.04%

How you voted: Lecce vs Empoli

Lecce
37.0%
Draw
40.7%
Empoli
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Empoli
1-1
Lecce
Rafia (71' og.)
Maleh (37'), Grassi (51')
Banda (64')
Gonzalez (4'), D'Aversa (68'), Ramadani (75')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Empoli
1-0
Lecce
Caputo (62' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
1-1
Empoli
Espeto (40')
Banda (34')
Parisi (23')
Marin (27'), Stojanovic (57')
> Preview
May 10, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
2-1
Lecce
La Mantia (51'), Matos (68')
Haas (39'), Parisi (63'), Olivieri (84')
Rodriguez (24')
Meccariello (10'), Pisacane (42')
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 19
Lecce
2-2
Empoli
Mancosu (79'), Rodriguez (90')
Nikolov (5'), Tachtsidis (46'), Mancosu (90+3')
Haas (33'), La Mantia (47')
Parisi (41'), Haas (66'), Matos (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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