Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce0 - 1Hellas Verona
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 3 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, March 3 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Lecce 1-0 Hellas Verona
Neither side is prolific, but Lecce are far harder to beat at Via del Mare, where they have picked up the bulk of their points this season. Verona can barely buy a goal on the road, and they may suffer an 11th away loss of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Hellas Verona |
45.65% ( 0.24) | 27.3% ( -0.04) | 27.04% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.95% ( 0.02) | 58.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.27% ( 0.02) | 78.73% ( -0.02) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.13) | 25.38% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.81% ( 0.18) | 60.19% ( -0.18) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% ( -0.15) | 37.24% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.97% ( -0.15) | 74.03% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 45.65%
Hellas Verona 27.05%
Draw 27.3%
| Lecce | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.05% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Hellas Verona
Lecce
55.0%Draw
23.3%Hellas Verona
21.7%60
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 21, 2023 2pm
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Hellas Verona
3-0
Lecce
Sep 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Lecce
0-1
Hellas Verona
Form Guide
