Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 at 11.30am UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
We said: Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce
Apart from the 3-0 loss to Milan on April 6, Lecce's games since Gotti took charge have been tightly-contested encounters, with one goal scored in wins over Salernitana and Empoli, while Lupi held Roma to a goalless match.
However, Lecce have never won at the Mapei, losing three and drawing twice in five visits to Reggio Emilia; Sassuolo should extend that run to six by eking out a marginal win on Sunday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.67% . A win for Lecce had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.32%) . The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood .
Result Sassuolo Draw Lecce 42.67% ( 0.41) 25.73% ( -0.07) 31.6% ( -0.34)
Both teams to score 54.04% ( 0.1)
50.05% ( 0.19) 49.94% ( -0.19)
28.07% ( 0.17) 71.93% ( -0.17)
76.73% ( 0.28) 23.27% ( -0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.8% ( 0.41) 57.2% ( -0.41)
70.42% ( -0.14) 29.57% ( 0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.39% ( -0.16) 65.6% ( 0.16)
Sassuolo 42.66%
Lecce 31.6%
Draw 25.73%
Sassuolo Draw Lecce 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.66% 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.6%
How you voted: Sassuolo vs Lecce
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rhs 2.0
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