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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 at 11.30am UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Lecce logo

Sassuolo
0 - 3
Lecce


Lauriente (19')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gendrey (11'), Dorgu (15'), Piccoli (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 3-3 AC Milan
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce

Apart from the 3-0 loss to Milan on April 6, Lecce's games since Gotti took charge have been tightly-contested encounters, with one goal scored in wins over Salernitana and Empoli, while Lupi held Roma to a goalless match. However, Lecce have never won at the Mapei, losing three and drawing twice in five visits to Reggio Emilia; Sassuolo should extend that run to six by eking out a marginal win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawLecce
42.67% (0.412 0.41) 25.73% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 31.6% (-0.341 -0.34)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.186 0.19)49.94% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (0.166 0.17)71.93% (-0.167 -0.17)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.283 0.28)23.27% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (0.41099999999999 0.41)57.2% (-0.413 -0.41)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)29.57% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (-0.164 -0.16)65.6% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 42.66%
    Lecce 31.6%
    Draw 25.73%
SassuoloDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 42.66%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Lecce

Sassuolo
67.2%
Draw
22.4%
Lecce
10.3%
58
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lecce
1-1
Sassuolo
Krstovic (48')
Rafia (44'), Krstovic (72')
Berardi (22' pen.)
Boloca (1'), Holmgren Pedersen (43'), Marco Ferrari (80')
Feb 25, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sassuolo
1-0
Lecce
Berardi (40')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (55'), Rogerio (66'), Frattesi (77'), Toljan (90+4')

Gonzalez (68')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 3, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 11
Lecce
2-2
Sassuolo
Lapadula (18'), Falco (42')
Calderoni (60'), Shakhov (74')
Toljan (35'), Berardi (85')
Locatelli (37'), Toljan (45'), Obiang (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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