Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 3Monza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Genoa
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-4 Roma
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Genoa 1-0 Monza
Among teams in the bottom half of Serie A, Genoa (33) and Monza (34) have conceded the fewest goals so far this season - and both are well-drilled by up-and-coming coaches. It could be tight and tactical, then, with only one goal separating the sides at full-time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Monza |
41.81% ( 0.05) | 27.31% ( 0.02) | 30.87% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.51% ( -0.12) | 56.48% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.51% ( -0.1) | 77.48% ( 0.09) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( -0.03) | 26.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.12% ( -0.04) | 61.88% ( 0.04) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.11) | 33.42% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.94% ( -0.12) | 70.05% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 41.81%
Monza 30.87%
Draw 27.31%
| Genoa | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.87% |
How you voted: Genoa vs Monza
Genoa
56.0%Draw
28.6%Monza
15.4%91
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
