MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 12:04:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Burnley logo

Leeds
0 - 1
Burnley


Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Burnley

After a shaky opening two matches, Leeds have looked like genuine top-two contenders and will be confident of recording a third straight Championship win at Elland Road this weekend. Burnley are not as strong as there were when they destroyed this division under Kompany, so we are expecting a narrow defeat for Parker's troops against a promotional rival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
67.34% (0.833 0.83) 18.37% (-0.285 -0.29) 14.29% (-0.548 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (0.131 0.13)36.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.9% (0.14400000000001 0.14)59.1% (-0.145 -0.14)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.91% (0.242 0.24)10.09% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.76% (0.55199999999999 0.55)33.24% (-0.554 -0.55)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)38.35% (0.654 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9% (-0.633 -0.63)75.1% (0.631 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 67.33%
    Burnley 14.29%
    Draw 18.37%
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 7.46% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.154 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.091 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.053 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 67.33%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.29%

How you voted: Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds United
80.4%
Draw
9.3%
Burnley
10.3%
97
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
3-1
Burnley
Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')
Sep 19, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Burnley
2-2
Leeds
(Aggregate 2-2 | Leeds win 5-3 on penalties)
Wood (89' pen.), Brady (96')
Bardsley (53'), Berg Gudmundsson (70'), Long (85')
Sacko (80'), Hernandez (94' pen.)
Grot (45'), Roofe (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!