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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Burnley logo

Leeds
0 - 1
Burnley


Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Burnley

After a shaky opening two matches, Leeds have looked like genuine top-two contenders and will be confident of recording a third straight Championship win at Elland Road this weekend. Burnley are not as strong as there were when they destroyed this division under Kompany, so we are expecting a narrow defeat for Parker's troops against a promotional rival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
67.34% (0.833 0.83) 18.37% (-0.285 -0.29) 14.29% (-0.548 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (0.131 0.13)36.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.9% (0.14400000000001 0.14)59.1% (-0.145 -0.14)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.91% (0.242 0.24)10.09% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.76% (0.55199999999999 0.55)33.24% (-0.554 -0.55)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)38.35% (0.654 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9% (-0.633 -0.63)75.1% (0.631 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 67.33%
    Burnley 14.29%
    Draw 18.37%
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 7.46% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.154 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.091 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.053 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 67.33%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.29%

How you voted: Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds United
80.4%
Draw
9.3%
Burnley
10.3%
97
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
3-1
Burnley
Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')
Sep 19, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Burnley
2-2
Leeds
(Aggregate 2-2 | Leeds win 5-3 on penalties)
Wood (89' pen.), Brady (96')
Bardsley (53'), Berg Gudmundsson (70'), Long (85')
Sacko (80'), Hernandez (94' pen.)
Grot (45'), Roofe (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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