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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
QPR logo

Leeds
2 - 0
QPR

Bogle (19'), Piroe (90+5')
Byram (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Varane (47'), Morgan (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

Leeds United have excelled on home turf this season and should have more than enough quality to record another comfortable victory against a Queens Park Rangers side lacking any momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
71.38% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 17.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 10.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.07% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)42.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)64.9% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)47.35% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (-0.029 -0.03)82.75% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 71.38%
    Queens Park Rangers 10.91%
    Draw 17.71%
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
2-0 @ 12.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 71.38%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 17.71%
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 10.91%

How you voted: Leeds vs QPR

Leeds United
76.8%
Draw
17.4%
Queens Park Rangers
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 45
QPR
4-0
Leeds
Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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