Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.