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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
24.79% ( -0.27) | 27.45% ( -0.18) | 47.76% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 44.72% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.12% ( 0.42) | 59.87% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.86% ( 0.32) | 80.14% ( -0.32) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.76% ( -0) | 40.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.13% ( -0) | 76.87% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% ( 0.41) | 25.17% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.1% ( 0.56) | 59.9% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.79% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 13.97% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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