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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Leeds logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Leeds

Tanganga (40')
Tanganga (57'), Honeyman (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Firpo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Burnley
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Leeds United

With both sides facing one of their toughest tests yet in the Championship, we anticipate a tight encounter at The Den on Wednesday. While Leeds United have more quality in their ranks, Millwall may have enough to come away with a result with confidence growing in the camp. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
24.79% (-0.265 -0.27) 27.45% (-0.177 -0.18) 47.76% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 44.72% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.42299999999999 0.42)59.87% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86% (0.322 0.32)80.14% (-0.324 -0.32)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)40.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.87%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (0.405 0.41)25.17% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (0.556 0.56)59.9% (-0.557 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 24.79%
    Leeds United 47.76%
    Draw 27.44%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.12% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 13.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 47.76%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
22.6%
Draw
25.8%
Leeds United
51.6%
93
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
2-0
Millwall
Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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