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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
QPR logo

Leeds
2 - 0
QPR

Bogle (19'), Piroe (90+5')
Byram (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Varane (47'), Morgan (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

Leeds United have excelled on home turf this season and should have more than enough quality to record another comfortable victory against a Queens Park Rangers side lacking any momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
71.38% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 17.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 10.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.07% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)42.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)64.9% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)47.35% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (-0.029 -0.03)82.75% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 71.38%
    Queens Park Rangers 10.91%
    Draw 17.71%
Leeds UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
2-0 @ 12.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 71.38%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 17.71%
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 10.91%

How you voted: Leeds vs QPR

Leeds United
76.8%
Draw
17.4%
Queens Park Rangers
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 45
QPR
4-0
Leeds
Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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