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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Leeds logo

QPR
4 - 0
Leeds

Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-4 Leeds
Monday, April 22 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-3 Leeds United

Although the shorter recovery time could have a detrimental effect on Leeds, the manner of their win at Boro may have turned the tide in their favour. QPR are likely to push Leeds for large spells of this contest, yet we are backing the visitors to run out victors at Loftus Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.11%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
23.69% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 23.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 53.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)44.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)66.61% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)16.62% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)46.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 23.69%
    Leeds United 53.11%
    Draw 23.18%
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.69%
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.11%

How you voted: QPR vs Leeds

Queens Park Rangers
26.5%
Draw
13.2%
Leeds United
60.3%
219
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
Jan 6, 2019 2pm
Third Round
QPR
2-1
Leeds
Oteh (23' pen.), Bidwell (75')
Furlong (72'), Kakay (90')
Halme (25')
Halme (20'), Alioski (84'), Baker (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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