Leyton Orient3 - 0Bristol Rovers
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
for
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Leyton Orient may be in the relegation zone, but they are just one point from Crawley and a win would take them to within three points of opponents Bristol Rovers with a superior goal difference. The Gas have struggled at both ends of the pitch in recent matches and without their usual manager in charge may not be able to withstand Wellens's Os on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
53.67% ( -0.69) | 24.31% ( 0.28) | 22.02% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( -0.66) | 50.7% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( -0.59) | 72.61% ( 0.59) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( -0.51) | 18.82% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.74% ( -0.86) | 50.26% ( 0.87) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( 0.03) | 37.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.52% ( 0.03) | 74.48% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.67% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.02% |
