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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
53.67% ( -0.69) | 24.31% ( 0.28) | 22.02% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( -0.66) | 50.7% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( -0.59) | 72.61% ( 0.59) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( -0.51) | 18.82% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.74% ( -0.86) | 50.26% ( 0.87) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.3% ( 0.03) | 37.7% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.52% ( 0.03) | 74.48% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.67% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |