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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
43.7% ( -0.37) | 26.52% ( 0.02) | 29.78% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.16% ( 0.05) | 53.84% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.69% ( 0.04) | 75.3% ( -0.04) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.53% ( -0.16) | 24.47% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.08% ( -0.23) | 58.92% ( 0.22) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.16% ( 0.28) | 32.84% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.59% ( 0.31) | 69.41% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.7% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |