Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.