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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
43.59% ( -3.46) | 24.56% ( -0.02) | 31.85% ( 3.49) |
Both teams to score 58.1% ( 2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.3% ( 1.85) | 44.7% ( -1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.94% ( 1.76) | 67.06% ( -1.76) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( -0.74) | 20.61% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.85% ( -1.19) | 53.15% ( 1.19) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% ( 3.29) | 26.82% ( -3.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% ( 4.13) | 62.12% ( -4.13) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.94) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.92) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.58) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.6) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.38) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.26) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |