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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Reading
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Smith (66')
Bindon (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Omochere (21'), Taylor (21'), Forde (32'), Hunt (89'), Moore (90+2')
Forde (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 3-1 Bristol Rovers

Reading have won five of their six home league games this season, while Bristol Rovers have lost four of their last five away matches in the third tier. With that in mind, we think that the Royals will make full use of home advantage to take all three points from Saturday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawBristol Rovers
43.59% (-3.462 -3.46) 24.56% (-0.023 -0.02) 31.85% (3.487 3.49)
Both teams to score 58.1% (2.092 2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (1.851 1.85)44.7% (-1.85 -1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (1.762 1.76)67.06% (-1.76 -1.76)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)20.61% (0.745 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-1.189 -1.19)53.15% (1.19 1.19)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (3.29 3.29)26.82% (-3.288 -3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (4.134 4.13)62.12% (-4.134 -4.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading 43.59%
    Bristol Rovers 31.85%
    Draw 24.55%
ReadingDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.936 -0.94)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.918 -0.92)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.267 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 43.59%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.342 0.34)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.596 0.6)
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.477 0.48)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.53 0.53)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.367 0.37)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.376 0.38)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.255 0.26)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Reading vs Bristol Rovers

Reading
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Bristol Rovers
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Reading

Hunt (90'), Conteh (90+2')
Smith (8'), Wing (45')
Nov 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Reading
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Smith (40')
Savage (24'), Hutchinson (49'), Craig (87')
Martin (57')
Mangan (25'), Finley (82')
Jul 21, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Reading
Samuel (39'), Blackman (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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