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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Liberia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Algeria national football team

Liberia
0 - 3
Algeria


W (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gouiri (17'), Zorgane (25'), Bounedjah (80')
Zerrouki (73'), Khacef (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Liberia and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Togo 1-1 Liberia
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Algeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 2-0 Eq Guinea
Thursday, September 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Liberia 0-2 Algeria

 Despite their home advantage, Liberia will need to be at their best against Algeria, who are unbeaten in their last six encounters. The Greens boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are tipping them off to secure all three points at the Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Liberia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
LiberiaDrawAlgeria
27.4% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.56% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 46.04% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 49.17% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.85% (0.215 0.21)55.15% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (0.176 0.18)76.39% (-0.176 -0.18)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)35.37% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)72.13% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (0.221 0.22)23.91% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (0.318 0.32)58.12% (-0.319 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Liberia 27.4%
    Algeria 46.04%
    Draw 26.55%
LiberiaDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 27.4%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 12.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.66% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.04%

How you voted: Liberia vs Algeria

Liberia
23.5%
Draw
2.9%
Algeria
73.5%
34
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2021 8.45pm
Friendlies 1
Algeria
5-1
Liberia
El Amine Amoura (39', 41', 47', 68'), Messaoudi (84' pen.)
Eddine Mrezigue (66')
Dorley (24')
Njie (33'), A (83')
> Preview
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