Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Livingston1 - 2Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Livingston
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-2 Ross County
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Livingston 1-3 Hearts
Having dropped points to Ross County, Naismith knows the dangers of facing teams towards the bottom of the standings. We feel that should sharpen Hearts' focus, however, and the visitors should run out convincing winners on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Hearts |
28.69% ( 0.2) | 27.56% ( -0.05) | 43.74% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
