MX23RW : Monday, December 30 19:08:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Scottish Premiership
Livingston logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Hearts logo

Livingston
1 - 2
Hearts

Shinnie (79' pen.)
Parkes (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vargas (53'), Shankland (64')
Nieuwenhof (42'), Shankland (45+4'), Kent (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Livingston
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Hearts 2-2 Ross County
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Livingston 1-3 Hearts

 Having dropped points to Ross County, Naismith knows the dangers of facing teams towards the bottom of the standings. We feel that should sharpen Hearts' focus, however, and the visitors should run out convincing winners on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawHearts
28.69% (0.198 0.2) 27.56% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 43.74% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 47.1% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8% (0.265 0.27)58.2% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15% (0.205 0.21)78.85% (-0.21000000000001 -0.21)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.01% (0.3 0.3)35.99% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.23% (0.306 0.31)72.76% (-0.30999999999999 -0.31)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (0.043999999999997 0.04)26.42% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.059000000000005 0.06)61.58% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 28.69%
    Hearts 43.74%
    Draw 27.56%
LivingstonDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 28.69%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 12.65% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.42% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.74%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Hearts
1-0
Livingston
Vargas (79')
Baningime (40'), Devlin (44')

Holt (63'), Holt (64+64'), Shinnie (77'), Anderson (90')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Livingston
0-0
Hearts
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Hearts
1-1
Livingston
Ginnelly (90+7')
Kelly (55')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Livingston
1-0
Hearts
Montano (28')
Omeonga (23'), Holt (34'), Pittman (68'), Nouble (90+3')

Devlin (52'), Shankland (65')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
2-0
Livingston
Baningime (3'), McKay (58')

Omeonga (37'), Nouble (84'), Holt (90+1'), Devlin (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1816205244850
2RangersRangers18113431131836
3Aberdeen1910453126534
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd198742820831
5St Mirren208392732-527
6Motherwell198382533-827
7Hibernian206682731-424
8Dundee196492934-522
9Kilmarnock205692336-1321
10Ross County204791937-1819
11Hearts2045112331-817
12St Johnstone2042142240-1814
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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